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Saturday 9 September 2017, 17:00 King Power Stadium Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
17% 21% 62%
Home win
17.0%
Draw
20.6%
Away win
62.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 17.0% 5.89
Draw 20.6% 4.87
Chelsea 62.5% 1.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.94
Over 1.5 84.8% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.2% 6.58
Over 2.5 64.3% 1.56
Under 2.5 35.7% 2.80
Over 3.5 42.2% 2.37
Under 3.5 57.8% 1.73
Over 4.5 23.9% 4.18
Under 4.5 76.1% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.7% 1.68
No 40.3% 2.48

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 37.5% 2.66
Leicester / Chelsea 79.4% 1.26
Draw / Chelsea 83.0% 1.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
7.6
9.0
6.7
3.7
1.6
1
3.4
9.4
9.8
7.3
4.0
1.8
2
2.2
4.8
5.3
4.0
2.2
1.0
3
0.8
1.7
1.9
1.4
0.8
0.4
4
0.2
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Chelsea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.