Sunday 20 August 2017, 18:00
Wembley Stadium
Full time
56%
24%
20%
Home win
55.7%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
20.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 20.2% | 4.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.8% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.0% | 6.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham / Draw | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Tottenham / Chelsea | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 44.3% | 2.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
5.3
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
11.5
|
5.5
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
9.9
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
6.0
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Chelsea
2-1
Tottenham
Nov 2025
Tottenham
0-1
Chelsea
Apr 2025
Chelsea
1-0
Tottenham
Dec 2024
Tottenham
3-4
Chelsea
May 2024
Chelsea
2-0
Tottenham
Nov 2023
Tottenham
1-4
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.