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Sunday 14 May 2017, 18:30 White Hart Lane Full time
53% 30% 17%
Home win
53.1%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
17.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 53.1% 1.88
Draw 29.8% 3.36
Manchester United 17.1% 5.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.6% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.4% 6.95
Over 1.5 59.8% 1.67
Under 1.5 40.2% 2.49
Over 2.5 32.1% 3.12
Under 2.5 67.9% 1.47
Over 3.5 14.1% 7.09
Under 3.5 85.9% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.2% 19.32
Under 4.5 94.8% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.8% 2.79
No 64.2% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 82.9% 1.21
Tottenham / Manchester United 70.2% 1.42
Draw / Manchester United 46.9% 2.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.4
8.1
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
17.7
12.6
3.8
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
12.4
8.0
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
5.6
3.6
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.9
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.