Sunday 7 May 2017, 18:00
Emirates Stadium
Full time
38%
29%
33%
Home win
37.7%
Draw
29.5%
Away win
32.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.2% | 9.77 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.9% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.3% | 4.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.1% | 11.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Manchester United | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.2
|
9.9
|
6.0
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
13.9
|
7.4
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
8.1
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
3.3
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Arsenal
2-3
Manchester United
Aug 2025
Manchester United
0-1
Arsenal
Mar 2025
Manchester United
1-1
Arsenal
Dec 2024
Arsenal
2-0
Manchester United
May 2024
Manchester United
0-1
Arsenal
Sep 2023
Arsenal
3-1
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.