Wednesday 26 April 2017, 21:45
Emirates Stadium
Full time
70%
17%
13%
Home win
70.0%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
12.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.1% | 5.83 | — | — |
| Leicester | 12.8% | 7.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 33.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.4% | 8.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| No | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Leicester | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Leicester | 30.0% | 3.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
2.3
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
7.5
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
9.2
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.5
|
8.0
|
4.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.9
|
5.2
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.6
|
2.7
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Leicester
0-2
Arsenal
Sep 2024
Arsenal
4-2
Leicester
Feb 2023
Leicester
0-1
Arsenal
Aug 2022
Arsenal
4-2
Leicester
Mar 2022
Arsenal
2-0
Leicester
Oct 2021
Leicester
0-2
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.