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Wednesday 26 April 2017, 21:45 Emirates Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
70% 17% 13%
Home win
70.0%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
12.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal 70.0% 1.43
Draw 17.1% 5.83
Leicester 12.8% 7.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.0% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.0% 33.78
Over 1.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.4% 8.75
Over 2.5 71.0% 1.41
Under 2.5 29.0% 3.45
Over 3.5 50.0% 2.00
Under 3.5 50.0% 2.00
Over 4.5 30.8% 3.25
Under 4.5 69.2% 1.44

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.1% 1.64
No 38.9% 2.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal / Draw 87.2% 1.15
Arsenal / Leicester 82.9% 1.21
Draw / Leicester 30.0% 3.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.0
2.3
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
6.2
7.5
3.8
1.3
0.4
0.1
2
8.6
9.2
4.9
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
7.5
8.0
4.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
4
4.9
5.2
2.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
5
2.6
2.7
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
Rows: Arsenal goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.