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Wednesday 5 April 2017, 21:45 Emirates Stadium Full time
3–0
HT 0–0
72% 16% 12%
Home win
71.8%
Draw
15.9%
Away win
12.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal 71.8% 1.39
Draw 15.9% 6.29
West Ham 12.3% 8.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.7% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.3% 43.42
Over 1.5 90.8% 1.10
Under 1.5 9.2% 10.88
Over 2.5 75.4% 1.33
Under 2.5 24.6% 4.06
Over 3.5 55.6% 1.80
Under 3.5 44.4% 2.25
Over 4.5 36.1% 2.77
Under 4.5 63.9% 1.56

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.2% 1.56
No 35.8% 2.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal / Draw 87.7% 1.14
Arsenal / West Ham 84.1% 1.19
Draw / West Ham 28.2% 3.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.3
1.8
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
5.1
6.5
3.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
2
7.6
8.7
4.9
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
7.2
8.1
4.6
1.7
0.5
0.1
4
5.0
5.7
3.2
1.2
0.3
0.1
5
2.8
3.2
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
Rows: Arsenal goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.