Sunday 2 April 2017, 18:00
Emirates Stadium
Full time
45%
25%
31%
Home win
44.8%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
30.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.5% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.1% | 5.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| No | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Manchester City | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
5.4
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
6.8
|
11.1
|
7.4
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
9.1
|
6.5
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
5.3
|
3.7
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
2.3
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Manchester City
2-1
Arsenal
Sep 2025
Arsenal
1-1
Manchester City
Feb 2025
Arsenal
5-1
Manchester City
Sep 2024
Manchester City
2-2
Arsenal
Mar 2024
Manchester City
0-0
Arsenal
Oct 2023
Arsenal
1-0
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.