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Monday 17 April 2017, 22:00 Riverside Full time
22% 29% 49%
Home win
22.4%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
48.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough 22.4% 4.46
Draw 29.0% 3.45
Arsenal 48.6% 2.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.84
Over 1.5 66.5% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.5% 2.98
Over 2.5 39.0% 2.56
Under 2.5 61.0% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.0% 5.26
Under 3.5 81.0% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.86
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.0% 2.27
No 56.0% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough / Draw 51.4% 1.95
Middlesbrough / Arsenal 71.0% 1.41
Draw / Arsenal 77.6% 1.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
13.9
10.2
4.7
1.6
0.5
1
8.3
13.4
8.8
4.1
1.4
0.4
2
3.9
5.4
3.8
1.7
0.6
0.2
3
1.1
1.5
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Middlesbrough goals. Columns: Arsenal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.