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Wednesday 5 April 2017, 21:45 KCOM Stadium Full time
36% 34% 30%
Home win
36.0%
Draw
34.4%
Away win
29.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City 36.0% 2.78
Draw 34.4% 2.90
Middlesbrough 29.6% 3.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.6% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.4% 5.76
Over 1.5 54.5% 1.84
Under 1.5 45.5% 2.20
Over 2.5 26.9% 3.72
Under 2.5 73.1% 1.37
Over 3.5 10.8% 9.22
Under 3.5 89.2% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.6% 27.57
Under 4.5 96.4% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.8% 2.79
No 64.2% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City / Draw 70.4% 1.42
Hull City / Middlesbrough 65.6% 1.52
Draw / Middlesbrough 64.0% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.4
13.1
5.8
1.6
0.3
0.1
1
15.1
14.1
5.6
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
7.6
6.4
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
2.4
2.0
0.9
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hull City goals. Columns: Middlesbrough goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.