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Monday 5 December 2016, 22:00 Riverside Full time
60% 25% 15%
Home win
60.2%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
14.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough 60.2% 1.66
Draw 25.0% 4.00
Hull City 14.8% 6.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.32
Over 1.5 69.9% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.1% 3.32
Over 2.5 43.1% 2.32
Under 2.5 56.9% 1.76
Over 3.5 22.2% 4.50
Under 3.5 77.8% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.6% 10.38
Under 4.5 90.4% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough / Draw 85.2% 1.17
Middlesbrough / Hull City 75.0% 1.33
Draw / Hull City 39.8% 2.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
5.8
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
14.6
11.5
3.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.9
9.2
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
7.3
5.2
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.1
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Middlesbrough goals. Columns: Hull City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.