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Saturday 22 October 2016, 17:00 Emirates Stadium Full time
67% 20% 13%
Home win
67.1%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
12.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal 67.1% 1.49
Draw 20.0% 4.99
Middlesbrough 12.9% 7.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.51
Over 1.5 81.0% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.0% 5.26
Over 2.5 58.2% 1.72
Under 2.5 41.8% 2.39
Over 3.5 35.8% 2.79
Under 3.5 64.2% 1.56
Over 4.5 18.9% 5.30
Under 4.5 81.1% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.3% 1.95
No 48.7% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal / Draw 87.1% 1.15
Arsenal / Middlesbrough 80.0% 1.25
Draw / Middlesbrough 32.9% 3.04

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
3.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
10.0
9.5
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.5
9.8
4.1
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
8.3
7.1
3.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
4.5
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
2.0
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Arsenal goals. Columns: Middlesbrough goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.