Saturday 15 October 2016, 17:00
Emirates Stadium
Full time
73%
17%
10%
Home win
73.2%
Draw
17.0%
Away win
9.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.0% | 5.89 | — | — |
| Swansea | 9.9% | 10.12 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.6% | 6.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Swansea | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 26.8% | 3.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
8.0
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.4
|
9.3
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.4
|
7.7
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.8
|
4.7
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.9
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.