Tuesday 30 January 2018, 21:45
Liberty Stadium
Full time
18%
23%
58%
Home win
18.4%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
58.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 18.4% | 5.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.3% | 4.29 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.6% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.5% | 6.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Swansea / Arsenal | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
10.0
|
10.1
|
6.4
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
4.9
|
11.1
|
9.9
|
6.3
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
2.7
|
5.1
|
4.9
|
3.1
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.7
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.