Sunday 14 January 2018, 15:30
Vitality Stadium
Full time
25%
23%
52%
Home win
24.6%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
52.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.1% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.7% | 6.37 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.1% | 4.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| No | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Arsenal | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
6.9
|
7.4
|
4.8
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
4.4
|
10.3
|
9.6
|
6.3
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
3.2
|
6.3
|
6.2
|
4.1
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.7
|
2.7
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Arsenal
1-2
Bournemouth
Jan 2026
Bournemouth
2-3
Arsenal
May 2025
Arsenal
1-2
Bournemouth
Oct 2024
Bournemouth
2-0
Arsenal
May 2024
Arsenal
3-0
Bournemouth
Sep 2023
Bournemouth
0-4
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.