Saturday 23 December 2017, 17:00
Etihad Stadium
Full time
83%
12%
6%
Home win
82.6%
Draw
11.7%
Away win
5.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.7% | 8.56 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 5.8% | 17.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.5% | 40.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.3% | 9.73 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Bournemouth | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 17.4% | 5.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.5
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
5.4
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.3
|
7.8
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.5
|
7.9
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.1
|
6.1
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.9
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Bournemouth
1-1
Manchester City
Nov 2025
Manchester City
3-1
Bournemouth
May 2025
Manchester City
3-1
Bournemouth
Nov 2024
Bournemouth
2-1
Manchester City
Feb 2024
Bournemouth
0-1
Manchester City
Nov 2023
Manchester City
6-1
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.