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Saturday 16 December 2017, 19:30 Etihad Stadium Full time
46% 26% 28%
Home win
46.2%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
27.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City 46.2% 2.16
Draw 25.9% 3.86
Tottenham 27.8% 3.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.4% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.6% 15.17
Over 1.5 78.1% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.9% 4.57
Over 2.5 53.8% 1.86
Under 2.5 46.2% 2.16
Over 3.5 31.5% 3.18
Under 3.5 68.5% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.7% 6.37
Under 4.5 84.3% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.0% 1.75
No 43.0% 2.32

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City / Draw 72.2% 1.39
Manchester City / Tottenham 74.1% 1.35
Draw / Tottenham 53.8% 1.86

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.6
6.4
4.3
1.7
0.5
0.1
1
8.9
12.3
7.0
2.8
0.9
0.2
2
7.7
9.4
5.7
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
4.2
5.1
3.1
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
1.7
2.0
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.5
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester City goals. Columns: Tottenham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.