Wednesday 29 November 2017, 22:00
Etihad Stadium
Full time
78%
15%
7%
Home win
78.1%
Draw
15.1%
Away win
6.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.1% | 6.62 | — | — |
| Southampton | 6.8% | 14.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.2% | 5.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.3% | 4.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| No | 56.3% | 1.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Southampton | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
7.2
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.5
|
8.6
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.4
|
7.2
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.2
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.6
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Southampton
0-0
Manchester City
Oct 2024
Manchester City
1-0
Southampton
Apr 2023
Southampton
1-4
Manchester City
Oct 2022
Manchester City
4-0
Southampton
Jan 2022
Southampton
1-1
Manchester City
Sep 2021
Manchester City
0-0
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.