Sunday 5 November 2017, 16:15
Etihad Stadium
Full time
63%
20%
17%
Home win
63.3%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
17.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.6% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 17.1% | 5.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.8% | 7.80 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.0% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| No | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Arsenal | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
3.0
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
8.6
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
9.6
|
5.6
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.4
|
7.5
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.8
|
4.4
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Manchester City
2-1
Arsenal
Sep 2025
Arsenal
1-1
Manchester City
Feb 2025
Arsenal
5-1
Manchester City
Sep 2024
Manchester City
2-2
Arsenal
Mar 2024
Manchester City
0-0
Arsenal
Oct 2023
Arsenal
1-0
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.