Saturday 23 September 2017, 17:00
Etihad Stadium
Full time
80%
13%
6%
Home win
80.2%
Draw
13.3%
Away win
6.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.3% | 7.54 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 6.5% | 15.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 30.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.8% | 7.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.3% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Crystal Palace | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
6.2
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.5
|
8.3
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.8
|
7.8
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.6
|
5.5
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.3
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Manchester City
3-0
Crystal Palace
Dec 2025
Crystal Palace
0-3
Manchester City
Apr 2025
Manchester City
5-2
Crystal Palace
Dec 2024
Crystal Palace
2-2
Manchester City
Apr 2024
Crystal Palace
2-4
Manchester City
Dec 2023
Manchester City
2-2
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.