Saturday 26 August 2017, 17:00
Selhurst Park
Full time
53%
24%
23%
Home win
52.6%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
23.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Swansea | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.0% | 5.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Swansea | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
5.2
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.7
|
11.4
|
6.2
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
9.8
|
5.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.2
|
5.9
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
2.7
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2017
Swansea
1-1
Crystal Palace
Jan 2017
Crystal Palace
1-2
Swansea
Nov 2016
Swansea
5-4
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.