Saturday 23 December 2017, 17:00
Liberty Stadium
Full time
37%
29%
34%
Home win
37.0%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
33.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.7% | 10.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.5% | 4.45 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.8% | 10.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Swansea / Crystal Palace | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.7
|
9.7
|
6.2
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
13.8
|
7.7
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
8.1
|
4.8
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
3.3
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Aug 2017
Crystal Palace
0-2
Swansea
Jan 2017
Crystal Palace
1-2
Swansea
Nov 2016
Swansea
5-4
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.