Tuesday 12 December 2017, 22:00
Selhurst Park
Full time
43%
26%
31%
Home win
42.5%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
31.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Watford | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.8% | 4.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.8% | 6.35 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Watford | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
6.9
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
12.4
|
7.6
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
9.0
|
5.8
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
4.6
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Crystal Palace
1-0
Watford
Feb 2022
Watford
1-4
Crystal Palace
Mar 2020
Crystal Palace
1-0
Watford
Dec 2019
Watford
0-0
Crystal Palace
Jan 2019
Crystal Palace
1-2
Watford
Aug 2018
Watford
2-1
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.