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Sunday 19 November 2017, 18:00 Vicarage Road Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
48% 24% 28%
Home win
47.8%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
28.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Watford 47.8% 2.09
Draw 24.2% 4.14
West Ham 28.1% 3.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.67
Over 1.5 83.1% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.9% 5.90
Over 2.5 61.3% 1.63
Under 2.5 38.7% 2.58
Over 3.5 39.0% 2.56
Under 3.5 61.0% 1.64
Over 4.5 21.3% 4.69
Under 4.5 78.7% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.7% 1.60
No 37.3% 2.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Watford / Draw 71.9% 1.39
Watford / West Ham 75.8% 1.32
Draw / West Ham 52.2% 1.91

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
5.1
3.9
1.7
0.6
0.2
1
7.0
11.0
7.0
3.2
1.1
0.3
2
6.9
9.4
6.3
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
4.2
5.7
3.8
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
1.9
2.6
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.7
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Watford goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.