Sunday 5 November 2017, 18:30
Goodison Park
Full time
60%
22%
18%
Home win
59.7%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
17.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.4% | 4.47 | — | — |
| Watford | 17.9% | 5.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.24 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.0% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.0% | 5.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.8% | 5.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| No | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Everton / Watford | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
4.4
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
10.5
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
10.0
|
5.1
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
6.6
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.3
|
3.3
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Watford
0-0
Everton
Oct 2021
Everton
2-5
Watford
Feb 2020
Watford
2-3
Everton
Aug 2019
Everton
1-0
Watford
Feb 2019
Watford
1-0
Everton
Dec 2018
Everton
2-2
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.