Saturday 23 September 2017, 17:00
Goodison Park
Full time
60%
22%
18%
Home win
60.5%
Draw
21.7%
Away win
17.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.7% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 17.8% | 5.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.2% | 5.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.0% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Everton / Bournemouth | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
4.0
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
10.1
|
5.0
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.9
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
6.9
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
3.6
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Everton
1-2
Bournemouth
Dec 2025
Bournemouth
0-1
Everton
Jan 2025
Bournemouth
1-0
Everton
Aug 2024
Everton
2-3
Bournemouth
Mar 2024
Bournemouth
2-1
Everton
Oct 2023
Everton
3-0
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.