Sunday 27 August 2017, 15:30
Stamford Bridge
Full time
59%
23%
18%
Home win
59.2%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
18.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.7% | 4.40 | — | — |
| Everton | 18.1% | 5.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.9% | 5.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.8% | 5.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Everton | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Everton | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
4.6
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
10.8
|
5.1
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.0
|
10.0
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
6.5
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
3.2
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Everton
3-0
Chelsea
Dec 2025
Chelsea
2-0
Everton
Apr 2025
Chelsea
1-0
Everton
Dec 2024
Everton
0-0
Chelsea
Apr 2024
Chelsea
6-0
Everton
Dec 2023
Everton
2-0
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.