Sunday 21 May 2017, 17:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
86%
11%
3%
Home win
85.8%
Draw
10.7%
Away win
3.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.7% | 9.35 | — | — |
| Sunderland | 3.5% | 28.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.8% | 26.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.9% | 6.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| No | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Sunderland | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw / Sunderland | 14.2% | 7.06 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
5.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.5
|
6.9
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
13.9
|
6.6
|
1.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
10.0
|
4.8
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.8
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.