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Wednesday 14 December 2016, 21:45 Stadium of Light Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
13% 21% 66%
Home win
12.6%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
66.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland 12.6% 7.96
Draw 21.5% 4.66
Chelsea 66.0% 1.52

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.27
Over 1.5 76.5% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.5% 4.26
Over 2.5 51.7% 1.93
Under 2.5 48.3% 2.07
Over 3.5 29.6% 3.38
Under 3.5 70.4% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.4% 6.96
Under 4.5 85.6% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.2% 2.17
No 53.8% 1.86

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland / Draw 34.0% 2.94
Sunderland / Chelsea 78.5% 1.27
Draw / Chelsea 87.4% 1.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
12.2
12.8
8.5
4.2
1.7
1
4.2
10.2
9.6
6.4
3.2
1.3
2
1.8
3.6
3.6
2.4
1.2
0.5
3
0.5
0.9
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sunderland goals. Columns: Chelsea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.