Saturday 26 November 2016, 17:00
Anfield
Full time
82%
12%
6%
Home win
81.8%
Draw
11.8%
Away win
6.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.8% | 8.46 | — | — |
| Sunderland | 6.3% | 15.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.2% | 45.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.2% | 10.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 24.5% | 4.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.8% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Sunderland | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw / Sunderland | 18.2% | 5.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.7
|
5.3
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
7.8
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.7
|
8.1
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.6
|
6.3
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.8
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Sunderland
0-1
Liverpool
Dec 2025
Liverpool
1-1
Sunderland
Jan 2017
Sunderland
2-2
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.