Sunday 6 November 2016, 16:15
Anfield
Full time
65%
19%
16%
Home win
65.0%
Draw
18.9%
Away win
16.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | — |
| Watford | 16.2% | 6.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.1% | 32.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.8% | 8.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.7% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| No | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Watford | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 35.0% | 2.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.1
|
2.7
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.0
|
8.1
|
4.5
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
9.4
|
5.5
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
7.7
|
4.5
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
4.7
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.0
|
2.3
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Liverpool
2-0
Watford
Oct 2021
Watford
0-5
Liverpool
Feb 2020
Watford
3-0
Liverpool
Dec 2019
Liverpool
2-0
Watford
Feb 2019
Liverpool
5-0
Watford
Nov 2018
Watford
0-3
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.