Saturday 24 November 2018, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
15%
22%
63%
Home win
15.5%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
62.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 15.5% | 6.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.0% | 16.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.5% | 4.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.2% | 5.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 37.4% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Watford / Liverpool | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.0
|
10.3
|
11.0
|
7.4
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
| 1 |
4.3
|
10.4
|
9.9
|
6.7
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
| 2 |
2.2
|
4.4
|
4.5
|
3.0
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.3
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Liverpool
2-0
Watford
Oct 2021
Watford
0-5
Liverpool
Feb 2020
Watford
3-0
Liverpool
Dec 2019
Liverpool
2-0
Watford
Feb 2019
Liverpool
5-0
Watford
Mar 2018
Liverpool
5-0
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.