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Saturday 27 October 2018, 17:00 Anfield Full time
4–1
HT 1–0
84% 11% 5%
Home win
84.1%
Draw
11.3%
Away win
4.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool 84.1% 1.19
Draw 11.3% 8.82
Cardiff 4.6% 21.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.9% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.1% 31.78
Over 1.5 87.3% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.7% 7.90
Over 2.5 69.0% 1.45
Under 2.5 31.0% 3.23
Over 3.5 47.6% 2.10
Under 3.5 52.4% 1.91
Over 4.5 28.6% 3.50
Under 4.5 71.4% 1.40

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.4% 2.30
No 56.6% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool / Draw 95.4% 1.05
Liverpool / Cardiff 88.7% 1.13
Draw / Cardiff 15.9% 6.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.1
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
8.1
5.4
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
12.4
7.5
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
12.2
7.4
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
9.0
5.5
1.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
5.3
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Liverpool goals. Columns: Cardiff goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.