Saturday 29 September 2018, 19:30
Stamford Bridge
Full time
41%
27%
33%
Home win
40.6%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
32.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.7% | 4.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.9% | 6.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Liverpool | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
7.4
|
5.3
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
12.7
|
7.8
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
8.8
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
4.3
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Liverpool
1-1
Chelsea
Oct 2025
Chelsea
2-1
Liverpool
May 2025
Chelsea
3-1
Liverpool
Oct 2024
Liverpool
2-1
Chelsea
Jan 2024
Liverpool
4-1
Chelsea
Aug 2023
Chelsea
1-1
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.