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Saturday 1 September 2018, 14:30 King Power Stadium Full time
22% 23% 55%
Home win
22.1%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
55.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 22.1% 4.52
Draw 22.6% 4.42
Liverpool 55.3% 1.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.4% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.6% 21.96
Over 1.5 83.8% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.2% 6.17
Over 2.5 62.5% 1.60
Under 2.5 37.5% 2.67
Over 3.5 40.3% 2.48
Under 3.5 59.7% 1.68
Over 4.5 22.4% 4.46
Under 4.5 77.6% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.5% 1.63
No 38.5% 2.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 44.7% 2.23
Leicester / Liverpool 77.4% 1.29
Draw / Liverpool 77.9% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.6
7.4
8.0
5.4
2.7
1.1
1
4.2
10.3
9.8
6.5
3.3
1.3
2
2.9
5.9
5.9
4.0
2.0
0.8
3
1.2
2.4
2.4
1.6
0.8
0.3
4
0.4
0.7
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Liverpool goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.