Saturday 25 August 2018, 17:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
39%
28%
32%
Home win
39.4%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
32.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Leicester | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.9% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.6% | 8.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Southampton / Leicester | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Leicester | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
8.6
|
5.6
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
13.4
|
7.6
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.1
|
8.5
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
3.8
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Leicester
2-0
Southampton
Oct 2024
Southampton
2-3
Leicester
Mar 2023
Southampton
1-0
Leicester
Aug 2022
Leicester
1-2
Southampton
May 2022
Leicester
4-1
Southampton
Dec 2021
Southampton
2-2
Leicester
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.