Tuesday 8 May 2018, 21:45
Liberty Stadium
Full time
38%
31%
31%
Home win
38.1%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
31.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.7% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Southampton | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.0% | 8.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.9% | 5.60 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.1% | 14.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| No | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Swansea / Southampton | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.0
|
10.7
|
5.9
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
14.2
|
6.9
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
7.8
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
3.0
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.