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Saturday 14 April 2018, 17:00 Liberty Stadium Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
32% 28% 39%
Home win
32.2%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
39.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea 32.2% 3.11
Draw 28.5% 3.51
Everton 39.3% 2.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.0% 11.11
Over 1.5 72.0% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.0% 3.57
Over 2.5 45.5% 2.20
Under 2.5 54.5% 1.84
Over 3.5 24.2% 4.14
Under 3.5 75.8% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.8% 9.22
Under 4.5 89.2% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.5% 1.94
No 48.5% 2.06

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea / Draw 60.7% 1.65
Swansea / Everton 71.5% 1.40
Draw / Everton 67.8% 1.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.0
10.1
7.2
3.2
1.1
0.3
1
8.9
13.6
8.5
3.7
1.2
0.3
2
5.7
7.5
5.0
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
2.2
2.9
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.7
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Swansea goals. Columns: Everton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.