Saturday 10 March 2018, 17:00
Goodison Park
Full time
52%
27%
21%
Home win
52.0%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
21.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Brighton | 21.1% | 4.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.2% | 10.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.6% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.5% | 9.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Everton / Brighton | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Brighton | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.2
|
6.9
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.5
|
12.7
|
5.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.3
|
9.4
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
4.9
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Brighton
1-1
Everton
Aug 2025
Everton
2-0
Brighton
Jan 2025
Brighton
0-1
Everton
Aug 2024
Everton
0-3
Brighton
Feb 2024
Brighton
1-1
Everton
Nov 2023
Everton
1-1
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.