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Saturday 10 February 2018, 17:00 bet365 Stadium Full time
41% 31% 28%
Home win
41.1%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
28.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Stoke City 41.1% 2.43
Draw 30.7% 3.25
Brighton 28.2% 3.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.3% 8.10
Over 1.5 64.3% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.7% 2.80
Over 2.5 36.6% 2.73
Under 2.5 63.4% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.3% 5.79
Under 3.5 82.7% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.8% 14.68
Under 4.5 93.2% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.8% 2.28
No 56.2% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Stoke City / Draw 71.8% 1.39
Stoke City / Brighton 69.3% 1.44
Draw / Brighton 58.9% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.3
10.2
5.2
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
13.1
14.1
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.4
8.0
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
3.4
3.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Stoke City goals. Columns: Brighton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.