Saturday 20 January 2018, 14:30
American Express Community Stadium
Full time
13%
26%
61%
Home win
12.6%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
61.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 12.6% | 7.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.0% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.2% | 8.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.2% | 5.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.8% | 14.80 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| No | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton / Draw | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Brighton / Chelsea | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.2
|
17.7
|
14.5
|
7.6
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
6.0
|
11.2
|
8.3
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
1.9
|
3.0
|
2.4
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Brighton
3-0
Chelsea
Sep 2025
Chelsea
1-3
Brighton
Feb 2025
Brighton
3-0
Chelsea
Sep 2024
Chelsea
4-2
Brighton
May 2024
Brighton
1-2
Chelsea
Dec 2023
Chelsea
3-2
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.