Saturday 13 January 2018, 17:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
74%
17%
9%
Home win
74.0%
Draw
16.6%
Away win
9.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.6% | 6.03 | — | — |
| Leicester | 9.4% | 10.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 24.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.5% | 6.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Leicester | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Leicester | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
7.8
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.6
|
9.2
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.6
|
7.7
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.0
|
4.8
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.0
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Chelsea
1-0
Leicester
Nov 2024
Leicester
1-2
Chelsea
Mar 2023
Leicester
1-3
Chelsea
Aug 2022
Chelsea
2-1
Leicester
May 2022
Chelsea
1-1
Leicester
Nov 2021
Leicester
0-3
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.