Tuesday 26 December 2017, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
37%
25%
38%
Home win
36.9%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
38.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Leicester | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.45 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.4% | 6.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| No | 35.5% | 2.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Watford / Leicester | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Leicester | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
5.9
|
5.3
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
5.8
|
11.0
|
8.4
|
4.6
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
8.2
|
6.7
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
4.4
|
3.5
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.7
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Watford
1-5
Leicester
Nov 2021
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Jun 2020
Watford
1-1
Leicester
Dec 2019
Leicester
2-0
Watford
Mar 2019
Watford
2-1
Leicester
Dec 2018
Leicester
2-0
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.