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Saturday 23 December 2017, 21:45 King Power Stadium Full time
20% 26% 54%
Home win
19.8%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
54.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 19.8% 5.06
Draw 25.9% 3.86
Manchester United 54.3% 1.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.68
Over 1.5 72.8% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.2% 3.68
Over 2.5 46.7% 2.14
Under 2.5 53.3% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.2% 3.97
Under 3.5 74.8% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.5% 8.73
Under 4.5 88.5% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.5% 2.06
No 51.5% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 45.7% 2.19
Leicester / Manchester United 74.1% 1.35
Draw / Manchester United 80.2% 1.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
12.2
10.6
5.8
2.4
0.8
1
6.4
12.3
9.6
5.2
2.2
0.7
2
3.2
5.2
4.3
2.4
1.0
0.3
3
0.9
1.6
1.3
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.