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Saturday 2 December 2017, 19:30 Emirates Stadium Full time
37% 29% 34%
Home win
36.7%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
34.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal 36.7% 2.72
Draw 29.0% 3.45
Manchester United 34.3% 2.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.4% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.6% 10.44
Over 1.5 70.6% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.4% 3.40
Over 2.5 43.8% 2.28
Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.8% 4.39
Under 3.5 77.2% 1.29
Over 4.5 10.0% 10.03
Under 4.5 90.0% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.2% 1.99
No 49.8% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal / Draw 65.7% 1.52
Arsenal / Manchester United 71.0% 1.41
Draw / Manchester United 63.3% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.6
9.7
6.2
2.5
0.7
0.2
1
10.1
13.8
7.7
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
6.8
8.1
4.8
1.9
0.6
0.1
3
2.8
3.3
2.0
0.8
0.2
0.1
4
0.9
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Arsenal goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.