Saturday 2 December 2017, 17:00
King Power Stadium
Full time
44%
29%
27%
Home win
43.6%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
27.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Burnley | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.7% | 9.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.4% | 4.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.5% | 11.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester / Draw | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Leicester / Burnley | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.7
|
9.0
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.3
|
13.7
|
6.4
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
8.6
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
3.8
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2022
Burnley
0-2
Leicester
Sep 2021
Leicester
2-2
Burnley
Mar 2021
Burnley
1-1
Leicester
Sep 2020
Leicester
4-2
Burnley
Jan 2020
Burnley
2-1
Leicester
Oct 2019
Leicester
2-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.