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Saturday 18 November 2017, 17:00 King Power Stadium Full time
16% 20% 64%
Home win
16.0%
Draw
19.7%
Away win
64.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 16.0% 6.23
Draw 19.7% 5.08
Manchester City 64.3% 1.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.57
Over 1.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.9% 7.18
Over 2.5 66.5% 1.50
Under 2.5 33.5% 2.98
Over 3.5 44.7% 2.24
Under 3.5 55.3% 1.81
Over 4.5 26.0% 3.85
Under 4.5 74.0% 1.35

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.6% 1.65
No 39.4% 2.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 35.7% 2.80
Leicester / Manchester City 80.3% 1.24
Draw / Manchester City 84.0% 1.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
7.1
8.8
6.8
4.0
1.8
1
3.1
8.8
9.7
7.5
4.4
2.0
2
2.0
4.6
5.3
4.1
2.4
1.1
3
0.7
1.7
1.9
1.5
0.9
0.4
4
0.2
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Manchester City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.