Saturday 28 October 2017, 17:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
15%
23%
63%
Home win
14.6%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
62.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 14.6% | 6.87 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.7% | 4.40 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.8% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.8% | 7.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| West Brom / Manchester City | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
12.1
|
12.1
|
7.7
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
| 1 |
4.8
|
10.8
|
9.7
|
6.2
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
2.2
|
4.1
|
3.9
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2021
West Brom
0-5
Manchester City
Dec 2020
Manchester City
1-1
West Brom
Jan 2018
Manchester City
3-0
West Brom
May 2017
Manchester City
3-1
West Brom
Oct 2016
West Brom
0-4
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.