Saturday 16 September 2017, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
16%
21%
63%
Home win
15.9%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
62.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 15.9% | 6.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.5% | 4.66 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.0% | 5.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.0% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 37.4% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Watford / Manchester City | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
9.4
|
10.4
|
7.2
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
| 1 |
4.0
|
10.1
|
9.9
|
6.9
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
| 2 |
2.2
|
4.6
|
4.7
|
3.3
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.5
|
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Manchester City
5-1
Watford
Dec 2021
Watford
1-3
Manchester City
Jul 2020
Watford
0-4
Manchester City
Sep 2019
Manchester City
8-0
Watford
Mar 2019
Manchester City
3-1
Watford
Dec 2018
Watford
1-2
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.