Saturday 19 August 2017, 17:00
Vitality Stadium
Full time
56%
22%
21%
Home win
56.4%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
21.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
| Watford | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.7% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.3% | 6.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| No | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Watford | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
4.2
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
10.2
|
5.7
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
9.8
|
5.8
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.6
|
6.6
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
3.4
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Bournemouth
0-3
Watford
Oct 2019
Watford
0-0
Bournemouth
Jan 2019
Bournemouth
3-3
Watford
Oct 2018
Watford
0-4
Bournemouth
Mar 2018
Watford
2-2
Bournemouth
Jan 2017
Bournemouth
2-2
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.