Saturday 31 March 2018, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
41%
25%
34%
Home win
40.8%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
33.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.7% | 5.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.1% | 5.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Watford / Bournemouth | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
6.2
|
5.0
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
11.7
|
7.9
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.1
|
8.8
|
6.3
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
4.7
|
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.9
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Bournemouth
0-3
Watford
Oct 2019
Watford
0-0
Bournemouth
Jan 2019
Bournemouth
3-3
Watford
Oct 2018
Watford
0-4
Bournemouth
Aug 2017
Bournemouth
0-2
Watford
Jan 2017
Bournemouth
2-2
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.